Tesla Stock Forecast

TSLA$248.71

Tesla Stock Price Scenarios to 2030

Hover over data points to see detailed segment breakdowns

202520262027202820292030$0$600$1200$1800$2400
  • Bull Case
  • Base Case
  • Bear Case

Business Segment Contribution to Valuation

Projection Year:
2025

Auto Sales

85%

Electric vehicles, including Model S, 3, X, Y, and Cybertruck

FSD/Robotaxi

5%

Full Self-Driving technology and autonomous ride-hailing services

Energy

9%

Energy storage, solar products, and grid solutions

Optimus

1%

Humanoid robot development and deployment

AI Services

0%

AI infrastructure and cloud computing services

Strategic Roadmap

Q1

No milestones planned

Q2

Affordable Vehicle Launch

90%

Tesla begins production of a ~$25K EV model

Boosts volume (2.5M deliveries), widens market

Robotaxi Pilot Begins

85%

Cybercab operates in Austin, unsupervised FSD

Validates autonomy, initial revenue ($1B)

Q3

No milestones planned

Q4

Shanghai Megafactory Ramps Up

95%

Reaches 40 GWh annual capacity

Energy revenue hits $15B, 50% YoY growth

Optimus Internal Deployment

80%

Several thousand units used in Tesla factories

Cuts labor costs, proves concept

High Probability (≥85%)
Medium Probability (≥70%)
Moderate Probability (≥50%)
Low Probability (<50%)